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Baccarat – Understanding the Six Key Concepts for Winning Every Day

Baccarat – Winning money easily in baccarat is an attractive idea for players who want to earn extra income from gambling. However, this is not an easy task because casinos always have an edge, and baccarat is a relatively complex game.

Baccarat - Understanding the Six Key Concepts for Winning Every Day

Experienced baccarat players have discovered techniques and concepts to increase daily winnings and achieve a win rate of over 60%. Players must understand the casino’s advantage and maintain caution, control risk, and avoid overindulgence. They should also avoid betting on ties and pairs, which reduces win rates and returns. Finally, players should avoid touching unfamiliar situations and bets to prevent losses.

Counting Cards in Baccarat?

In addition, some people claim that card counting can be applied in baccarat, but in reality, this is impossible. Each game is independent, and shuffling is random, making it impossible to improve winning chances by counting cards. Finally, the risk of using the doubling-up strategy is high, and although it may result in some short-term gains, it can easily lead to significant losses in the long run.

In summary, learning these fundamental concepts and techniques in baccarat is crucial for novice players. It can help them to be more cautious and composed, control risk, and increase their chances of winning and earning additional income in the game. We hope that players will read this information carefully and reduce the chances of taking the wrong path.

Understand the casino’s edge

Baccarat is a game of advantage in casinos. Interestingly, compared to other casino games, Baccarat gives players a higher advantage. In casinos, the expected value of each game can be calculated.

For example, taking a coin toss as an example, the probability of heads or tails is 50%. If you bet 100 dollars and win, the casino must pay you 100 dollars. Conversely, if you lose, you have to give the casino 100 dollars. In this case, the casino’s advantage is zero (of course, the casino will not offer such a game). In regular gambling games, if you win, the casino will only pay you 95 dollars, but if you lose, you have to give the casino 100 dollars. This is the casino’s advantage, which is usually 5%.

The banker has a higher advantage than the player

In baccarat, the probability of the banker winning is indeed higher than that of the player winning. This is why there is no commission when betting on the player to win, but a 5% commission is charged when betting on the banker and winning. If a player only bets on the player to win every time, the profit they receive even if they win will be less than if they bet on the banker and win. Additionally, the baccarat rules for drawing cards result in slightly different winning probabilities for the banker and player, so it is not advisable to simply always bet on the player.

Expert calculations show that when eight decks are used in a casino, the probability of the banker winning is 45.86%, the probability of the player winning is 44.62%, and the remaining 9.52% is the probability of a tie. However, in baccarat, a tie does not result in the banker and player bets being voided, so if we exclude ties, the probability of the banker winning exceeds 50%. In order to keep the banker’s win rate below 50%, casinos must balance the expected values between the banker and player by charging a 5% commission. Thus, even if the banker’s win rate is higher than the player’s, the commission can still balance the expected values for both sides.

Do not bet on tie or pairs

If you are a beginner in baccarat, it is not recommended to bet on the tie or pair player options. This is because the probability of these outcomes and their corresponding payouts are not proportional. As mentioned earlier, the probability of a tie is only 9.52%, but the payout is as high as 8 times the initial bet. After accounting for the 1:8 payout ratio, the expected value of a tie bet is only 85.56%, meaning that the house edge is as high as 14.44%. Betting on the pair option also comes with a house edge of 12.15%. Therefore, when betting on the tie or pair options, you must be willing to lose at least 10% of your chips upfront, which is a risk that is not worth taking for beginners.

If you are not proficient, it is recommended that you refrain from playing

There are countless baccarat strategies circulating online, but not all of them can be mastered proficiently. Therefore, we recommend that beginners do not rush to learn baccarat techniques such as “seeing the road” or “pattern chasing” unless they have a considerable level of proficiency.

Before starting actual gameplay, it is recommended to simulate bets on paper first, and only apply the learned techniques with high winning rates in actual gameplay after becoming familiar with them. In addition, the baccarat game screens in online casinos also provide historical winning records for players to check. In the movie, the character Chen Xiaodao said that all “big roads” and “small roads” are deceiving, only “long dragon” and “single jump” are the true basis. However, this statement may not be correct, as all “big roads” and “small roads” are formed based on the science of statistics, and theoretically have their reference value. The real problem is that statistics are the “organization of accumulated records in the past,” and can only be considered as “indirect inference” for the future.

When we have different interpretations of these statistically derived results, different inference results will also be produced. If you cannot understand the influence of each card number on the baccarat result, these “big roads” and “small roads” will have limited effectiveness for you. The result for novice players who “chase the pattern” is often getting lost.

Counting cards in Baccarat

In the movie “21,” the protagonists use card counting to win big at the game of blackjack. The card counting method involves assigning values to each card that is dealt and keeping a running total, and if the count is in favor of the player, they increase their bets. The same method can also be applied in baccarat, as the rules for drawing cards are different for the banker and the player, and the value of the cards can have a small impact on the odds of winning.

To put it simply, by calculating the probabilities based on the drawing rules, the cards around the value of 4 have the most influence in baccarat. After weighting, the cards with a value of +3 have the highest probability, followed by the cards with a value of +2 (3), and the cards with a value of +1 (A and 2). The cards with a value of -2 (5, 6, and 7) have the highest negative probability, and 8 is -1, while 9 and 0 are 0. When the total value of the cards on the table is high, it means that the probability of small cards appearing is high, which favors the banker; conversely, when the total value is negative, it favors the player.

Compared to indirect guessing methods such as the “big road” and “small road,” the card counting technique in baccarat involves directly counting the remaining cards, making it more accurate. However, it should be noted that situations where the card values have a significant impact on the outcome of the game are not common. If you want to use card counting to win at baccarat, you need to carefully calculate the value of each card and be familiar with the drawing rules of the game.

The risk of the martingale betting system is comparatively high

You may have heard of the martingale betting system, which involves doubling your bet after a loss, such as betting 200 units after losing 100 units, and then 400 units after another loss. However, this is an extremely amateur betting method that is usually only used by inexperienced beginners. Why is this so? First of all, all casinos and online gaming sites have a limit on the amount you can bet. Even if you have the money and set a small profit goal, you cannot continue to double your bets once you reach a certain amount.

Secondly, from a statistical perspective, each game is an independent event, and losing or winning six consecutive times is still within the normal range. However, if you experience more than nine consecutive losses, most people cannot afford to continue. For example, if you start with 100 units and unfortunately lose nine consecutive rounds, you will have to bet 51,200 units in the tenth round. If you win in the tenth round, you will only get back the 51,000 units you lost earlier, and you will only make a profit of 100 units. Spending 51,200 units just to make a profit of 100 units is illogical.

In fact, the real purpose of this type of betting is just to recover the money lost in previous rounds. Therefore, the martingale strategy cannot be called a “skill”, at most it is just “stubbornness”. If you are unlucky enough to lose in the tenth round, you will have to bet 102,400 units in the eleventh round. Instead of using this betting method, it is better to just give up after losing 100 units in the first round. This will be more relaxed and comfortable.

Conclusion

There are various baccarat winning strategies available on the internet, but as a novice player, it is essential to understand the basic principles of baccarat. Only then can you combine different concepts and develop an optimal strategy that suits you. When you enter the baccarat game lobby and start playing, you can experience the pleasure of making money in baccarat with ease. Here, I recommend Apollo, which provides several baccarat gaming houses with a variety of live games to choose from.